Acetone offers in major mainstream markets in China on the previous trading day are as follows:

Region, quotation, rise and fall range

East China, 4820, -50

Shandong Province, 5000, -50

Yanshan area, 5000, -50

South China. 5050, 0

International crude oil fell sharply, there were many negative factors in the peripheral environment, and the domestic acetone market as a whole fell slightly by 50 yuan / ton. Crude oil fell, and the wait-and-see mood of petrochemical products on the floor increased. The bearers’ pressured offer fell, the shipping intention increased, and the actual order made profits. Yesterday, there were few terminal inquiries, which was also an important reason for the decline of the market.

Pure benzene, the raw material, continued to decline. The transaction volume was generally 8600 yuan / ton for the mainstream candidates in East China, and there was more bearish in Shandong and other regions. Related products also showed a downward trend, with light trading on the floor.

Although some factories stopped for maintenance, there was sufficient supply, crude oil fell sharply, and the acetone market was expected to be 4800 yuan / ton today under the influence of the bad external environment.

According to the data monitored by the business community, as of August 2, the average price of domestic industrial grade premium cyclohexane was 9733.33 yuan / ton. The price rose narrowly in June, up 6.57% compared with the same period last month. The price rose slightly. At present, the quotation range of mainstream manufacturers is 9500-10000 yuan / ton. In the short term, it will maintain a stable medium to upper operation, the focus of negotiation is stable, the supply side is normal, and the downstream procurement atmosphere is general.

On the first ten days of July, the average price of domestic industrial grade superior cyclohexane was 9833.33 yuan / ton, and the quotation range of mainstream manufacturers remained about 9200 yuan / ton. The overall market supply and demand of cyclohexane was balanced, and the downstream just needed to purchase, the focus of negotiation was stable, and the supply side was normal. The latest prices of enterprises: 8400 yuan / ton for Jinan Mingyu Chemical Co., Ltd., 9800 yuan / ton for Liaocheng yuanze chemical products Co., Ltd., 9800 yuan / ton for Zhejiang jinmaotong Supply Chain Management Co., Ltd, Jinan Qichen Chemical Co., Ltd. is 9800 yuan / ton, and Zhejiang jinmaotong Supply Chain Management Co., Ltd. is 9800 yuan / ton. Upstream pure benzene: mainly stable operation. On July 12, Sinopec North China: Qilu Petrochemical quoted 9150 yuan / ton, Shijiazhuang refining and chemical quoted 9150 yuan / ton, and Tianjin Petrochemical quoted 9300 yuan / ton; East China: Yangzi Petrochemical offers 9300 yuan / ton; South China: Hainan refining and Chemical Co., Ltd. offers 9300 yuan / ton; Central China: the quotation of Wuhan ethylene is 9300 yuan / ton; Others: Dongming Petrochemical quote 9100 yuan / ton, Jingbo Petrochemical quote 9000 yuan / ton, HSBC Petrochemical quote 9200 yuan / ton, Weilian chemical quote 9003 yuan / ton, Xinhai Petrochemical quote 9100 yuan / ton.

In mid July, the average price of domestic industrial grade superior cyclohexane was 9833.33 yuan / ton, and the quotation range of mainstream manufacturers remained about 9266.67 yuan / ton. The overall market supply and demand of cyclohexane was balanced, and the downstream just needed procurement was the main. The focus of negotiation was stable, and the supply side was normal. The latest prices of enterprises: 8400 yuan / ton for Jinan Mingyu Chemical Co., Ltd., 9800 yuan / ton for Liaocheng yuanze chemical products Co., Ltd., 9800 yuan / ton for Zhejiang jinmaotong Supply Chain Management Co., Ltd, Jinan Qichen Chemical Co., Ltd. is 9800 yuan / ton, and Zhejiang jinmaotong Supply Chain Management Co., Ltd. is 9800 yuan / ton. Upstream pure benzene: upstream pure benzene operates weakly in a narrow range. In East China, Yangzi Petrochemical quoted 9150 yuan / ton; South China: Hainan refining and Chemical Co., Ltd. offers 9150 yuan / ton; Central China: the quotation of Wuhan ethylene is 9150 yuan / ton.

In late July, the average price of domestic industrial grade superior cyclohexane was 9833.33 yuan / ton, and the quotation range of mainstream manufacturers remained about 9266.67 yuan / ton. The overall market supply and demand of cyclohexane was balanced, and the downstream just needed procurement was the main. The focus of negotiation was stable, and the supply side was normal. The latest prices of enterprises: 8400 yuan / ton for Jinan Mingyu Chemical Co., Ltd., 9800 yuan / ton for Liaocheng yuanze chemical products Co., Ltd., 9800 yuan / ton for Zhejiang jinmaotong Supply Chain Management Co., Ltd, Jinan Qichen Chemical Co., Ltd. 9800 yuan / ton. Upstream pure benzene: upstream pure benzene operates weakly in a narrow range. In East China, Yangzi Petrochemical quoted 9150 yuan / ton; South China: Hainan refining and Chemical Co., Ltd. offers 9150 yuan / ton; Central China: the quotation of Wuhan ethylene is 9150 yuan / ton.

Chemical industry index: on August 1, the bulk commodity price index BPI was 1049 points, down 1 point from yesterday, down 21.89% from 1343 points (2021-10-19), the highest point in the cycle, and up 58.94% from 660 points, the lowest point on February 3, 2016. (Note: the period refers to 2011-12-01 to now).

According to the cyclohexane analyst of business agency, the cyclohexane market is expected to operate stably in August, with little price fluctuation. (if you want to get more commodity information and master commodity prices, you are welcome to subscribe to the commodities of the business club through the official account of the business club. The market is an opportunity).

On August 1, the price trend of domestic ammonium nitrate fell. Due to different production fuels, there was a large gap in manufacturers’ quotations. The mainstream of on-site negotiation was 4300-4700 yuan / ton, and the price quotation in Hebei was 4600-4700 yuan / ton. Recently, the price of liquid ammonia in the upstream raw material market fell, the price of nitric acid fell, and the decline of raw material price had a certain negative impact on the ammonium nitrate Market, but the sales of the downstream civil explosive industry came to an end, and the on-site supply of goods was normal recently, The market price of ammonium nitrate declined, and it is expected that the price will continue to decline in the later period. The market prices of ammonium nitrate in some parts of China are as follows:

Region, price (yuan / ton), rise and fall (yuan / ton)

Hebei, 4600-4700, -500

Henan, 4300-4400, -200

Shaanxi Province, 5000-5200, 0

Yunnan, 2900-3100, 0

1、 Price trend

According to the data monitored by business agency, the spot market price of PVC SG5 fell in July. The average price of domestic PVC was 7348.75 yuan / ton on July 1 and 6775.71 yuan / ton on July 30, with the price falling by 7.8% in the month.

2、 Market analysis

In July, the market price of PVC carbide SG5 first fell and then rose, with the overall price mainly falling. The spot price of PVC continued to fall in the first and middle of this month. Since late last decade, the futures market price has rebounded, and the atmosphere of the spot market has also improved, and the price has continued to rise. At present, PVC spot market confidence is good. Traders’ enthusiasm for taking goods is acceptable, and downstream manufacturers purchase on demand. As of the 30th, the quotation range of domestic PVC 5 electric stone is mostly around 6550-7000 yuan / ton.

In terms of international crude oil, international crude oil futures rose and fell on July 28. U.S. WTI crude oil futures fell, and the settlement price of the main contract was $96.42 / barrel, down $0.84 or 0.86%; Brent crude oil futures rose slightly, and the settlement price of the main contract was $101.83 / barrel, up $0.16 or 0.16%. Under the background of the global central bank raising interest rates, the expectation of economic recession may drag down the expected game between energy demand and supply tightening, and the oil price is deadlocked.

In terms of calcium carbide, the ex factory price of calcium carbide in Northwest China rose first and then fell this month. This month, the average ex factory price of mainstream calcium carbide manufacturers in Northwest China rose from 3800.00 yuan / ton on July 1 to 3850.00 yuan / ton on July 6, up 1.32%, and then fell to 3816.67 yuan / ton on July 28, down 0.87%. Compared with the same period last year, it fell by 25.65% year-on-year. In the middle and early August, the calcium carbide market may decline slightly, mainly consolidation. The price of upstream raw material blue carbon has been adjusted at a low level recently, and calcium carbide cost support is insufficient. The downstream 1,4 butanediol and PVC market fell sharply, and the downstream demand weakened. In the aftermarket, it is predicted that the price of calcium carbide in Northwest China may fluctuate slightly in the middle and early August, mainly finishing.

3、 Aftermarket forecast

PVC analysts of business club believe that the current rebound in PVC futures prices is good for the spot market, and the transaction is improving. The trading atmosphere in the spot market is improving, and the inventory is declining slightly. It is expected that the PVC market will be stable and positive in the short term.

As can be seen from the above figure, the ex factory price of Shandong isooctanol fell violently this month, from 8900.00 yuan / ton at the beginning of the month to 8166.67 yuan / ton at the end of the month, a decrease of 8.24%. Compared with the same period last year, it fell by 56.25%.

On July 27, the isooctanol commodity index was 60.54, unchanged from yesterday, down 55.97% from the highest point 137.50 in the cycle (2021-08-08), and up 72.23% from the lowest point 35.15 on February 1, 2016. (Note: the period refers to 2011-09-01 to now)

Shandong isooctanol market in July

Judging from the manufacturer’s quotation, the price of Shandong isooctanol mainstream manufacturers fell slightly this month, and the manufacturer’s inventory is general.

Insufficient upstream support and weak downstream demand

From the perspective of upstream and downstream industrial chains, the upstream propylene market fell slightly this month. The propylene price fell from 7680.60 yuan / ton at the beginning of the month to 7234.60 yuan / ton at the end of the month, a decrease of 5.81%, a year-on-year decrease of 7.51% compared with the same period last year, and the cost support is insufficient. Downstream DOP prices fell slightly. The DOP price fell from 9550.00 yuan / ton at the beginning of the month to 8875.00 yuan / ton at the end of the month, a decrease of 7.07%, and a year-on-year decrease of 43.56% compared with the same period last year. The downstream market fell slightly, and downstream customers’ enthusiasm for purchasing isooctanol weakened. On the whole, the upstream and downstream products had a negative impact on the price of isooctanol this month.

Slightly volatile decline in the aftermarket

In the middle and early August, the domestic isooctanol market may decline slightly, mainly finishing. The upstream propylene price has fallen slightly recently, the cost support is insufficient, the downstream DOP market has fallen slightly, and there is still a downward trend at the end of the month. The downstream manufacturers’ enthusiasm for purchasing isooctanol has weakened, and the product trend has declined under the contradiction between supply and demand. The isooctanol analyst of business society believes that in the short term, the domestic isooctanol market may fluctuate and decline slightly under the influence of supply and demand, raw materials and other aspects.