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Summary of LME Metals on January 16

London January 16th news, the London Metal Exchange (LME) in nickel prices on Wednesday hit a 10 week high, due to inventory decline and intertemporal price narrowed implied market supply.

The LME index of nickel fell 0.4%, to $11630 a tonne, had hit the highest level since November 8th 11770 dollars.

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The nickel price has hit 15 months from January 2nd lows of about 10%. Due to the slowdown in economic growth China concerns, industrial metals prices fell more broadly, the price of nickel.

Nickel inventory LME warehouse close to multi-year lows this week, spot price of nickel is after delivery of the contract soared, suggesting recent supply shortage.

But Citibank analyst Oliver Nugent said the price narrowed may be due to temporary factors LME nickel futures contract expires Wednesday monthly.

He added that the nickel market in 2018 slightly short supply 40 thousand tons, to 2019 may be roughly balanced. He is expected by the end of this year, the nickel price will be around $11500.

LME nickel inventories of about 200 thousand tons, less than 2018 at the beginning of the year more than 360 thousand tons, the lowest level since mid 2013.

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Other metals, copper closed at $5970 per ton, up 0.8%,

Aluminum futures rose 0.7%, to close at $1859 per ton;

Zinc rose 1.7% to $2497 per ton;

Lead up to $1975 per ton 0.4%;

The tin was down 0.5% to $20575 a tonne.

POLYVINYL ALCOHOL

China’s import of recycled plastics shows a downward trend

In recent years, with the continuous increase of domestic environmental protection efforts, the transformation of recycled plastics, a policy-oriented industry, has become more and more obvious. Especially after December 31, 2017, waste and scrap materials from living sources were banned outside the country, the import pattern of the recycling industry has changed dramatically, and the demand gap of 6-8 million tons per year has been opened. On the domestic side, the start-up of production enterprises has become the most serious problem at present, and the start-up face directly affects the domestic supply, therefore, whether it is import or country. The change of production and its supply has become a concern of the industry.

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Reporters learned that in the past five years, the import volume of recycled PE in China has shown a downward trend. Recycled polyethylene imports began to decline in 2015. Since the hedge action in February 2013, environmental protection in the recycling market has become more and more stringent. In addition, the import of recycled polyethylene declined rapidly from 2015 to 2016, which coincided with Waterloo in the plastic industry. According to statistics from Jin Lianchuang, imports of recycled PE fell to 35683,000 tons in 2015, a decline of 18.95%. In the following years, imports declined at a rate of 20% to 30%. Until this year, imports fell to freezing point.

Since December 31, 2017, the Implementing Plan for the Reform of the Management System of Prohibiting the Entry of Foreign Waste and Promoting the Import of Solid Waste has been formally implemented. China has prohibited the import of 24 Categories of solid waste in four categories. “The implementation of the”ban on waste”has caused tremendous changes in the recycled plastics market. From January to September 2018, the import volume of recycled PE was 103,000 tons, a decrease of 166,160,000 tons compared with the same period last year, a decrease of 99.39%. Xu Xiujun, an analyst at Jinlianchuang Plastics, said.

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In April 2018, the Ministry of Ecological Environment and the General Administration of Customs jointly issued that 16 kinds of solid wastes, such as waste plastics from industrial sources, were transferred from the Catalogue of Solid Wastes Restricting Imports as Raw Materials to the Catalogue of Solid Wastes Prohibiting Imports, which has been implemented since 31 December 2018. That is to say, imports of recycled plastics will cease to exist after 2019. “The domestic production trend of recycled polyethylene is roughly the same as that of imported polyethylene, but the difference is that the domestic production growth trend is different.” Xu Xiujun said that with the continuous strengthening of domestic environmental protection in recent years, especially in 2017-2018, the Ministry of Ecology and Environment strictly inspected “scattered and dirty” enterprises, the Blue Sky Defense War in 2018-2019, the Central Environmental Protection Inspection and so on. Under the pressure of the policy, the overall start-up rate was affected by the strict inspection of waste water and exhaust gas pollution, and domestic production declined. According to statistics from Jin Lianchuang, the domestic recycled polyethylene recovery from January to October 2018 was 2.4277 million tons, 17.84% less than that in 2017. “The downstream demand side is still a major factor affecting supply. For the whole year of this year, the demand side of terminal has not improved significantly, and the phenomenon of warmth is obvious. In addition, upstream products factories are more or less affected by environmental protection, and the overall pace of trade is slow. Xu Xiujun said that in recent years, the price difference between old and new materials has been less than 1,000 yuan. With the narrowing of the price gap, some customers tend to increase the trend of new materials, and the pressure of shipment in the recycling market increases.

Xu Xiujun believed that due to the construction of regeneration market parks and more and more EIA manufacturers putting into production, as well as the increasing awareness of national recycling, the stock of domestic wool materials will gradually rise. In the near future, the domestic supply of regenerated polyethylene industry will continue to rise, and the import gap will gradually be filled.

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China’s domestic sulphur market has been operating steadily this week (1.7-1.11)

Price data:

 

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According to the data from the business associations’list, the domestic sulphur market has been running steadily this week, with the average export price of granular sulphur at the weekend being about 1433.33 yuan/ton, up 27.47% from the same period last year.

II. Market Analysis

Products: On Tuesday, the price of sulphur market increased. The quotation of domestic refineries basically increased by 20-60 yuan/ton this week. At the same time, the price of port transactions also rose sharply to support the domestic market. The price of international market is inversely linked to that of domestic market, and the overall trend of Chinese market is rising.

Industry chain: Phosphate fertilizer market is running slowly, monoammonium is short of real orders, and domestic delivery of diammonium remains sluggish. On the downstream side, demand is sluggish, replenishments are less, traders are not willing to make profits, and holders’quotations are firm.

3. Future Market Forecast

Sulphur analysts from the Business Society Chemical Branch believe that in the near future, the mainstream port stock is not high, the market is supported slightly, the TRADERS’price-fixing mentality is obvious, the willingness to make profits and shipments is not strong, and the sulfur market is mainly stable in the near future.

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