Recently (10.20-10.29), the trichloromethane market in Shandong region has remained relatively stable. According to the Commodity Market Analysis System of Shengyi Society, as of October 29th, the price of trichloromethane water in Shandong Province was 1700 yuan/ton, unchanged from the previous period. The raw materials methanol and liquid chlorine still have some support. Downstream production remains at a low level, dragging down the market for trichloromethane. However, the expected production of methane chloride has decreased, and the overall trichloromethane market is in a weak equilibrium state due to the comprehensive impact.
Recently (10.20-10.29), the Jinling methane chloride unit was restarted, the Jiangsu Liwen methane chloride unit was shut down for maintenance, and there are maintenance plans for the Jiuhong methane chloride unit in the later stage. The market expects a slight decrease in supply pressure in the later stage.
Recently, the price of methanol has been declining and the price of liquid chlorine has been rising, which still provides support for the cost of trichloromethane. According to the Commodity Market Analysis System of Shengyi Society, as of October 29th, the spot price of methanol was 2212 yuan/ton, a decrease of 3.41% from 2290 yuan/ton on the 20th. As of October 29th, the acceptance price of liquid chlorine tank trucks in Shandong region is around 250 yuan/ton, which is about 50 yuan/ton higher than the previous period.
The demand for downstream refrigerant R22 continues to be weak, and the support for trichloromethane demand has weakened. In addition, the R22 quota will continue to decrease in 2025, which will have a negative impact on trichloromethane. In 2013, the baseline production quota for second-generation refrigerants in China was 426400 tons. After multiple pressure drops, it will be reduced to 163600 tons by 2025. Among them, the production quotas for R22, R142b, and R141b are 149100 tons, 0.34 tons, and 0.92 tons, respectively.
The methane chloride data analyst from Shengyi Society believes that the demand for trichloromethane is relatively weak; However, with cost and supply support expectations, it is expected that the trichloromethane market will mainly consolidate in a narrow range in the later period.
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