According to the Commodity Market Analysis System of Shengyi Society, the domestic natural rubber spot market has been rising and then falling recently (7.22~7.28), with an overall upward trend. As of July 28th, the spot rubber market in China’s natural rubber market was around 15125 yuan/ton, an increase of 0.11% from 15108 yuan/ton on the 22nd, with a weekly high of 15633 yuan/ton. On the one hand, downstream tire production has remained stable, providing essential support for natural rubber. On the other hand, the situation in Thailand and Cambodia has driven up natural rubber prices in the short term. As of July 28th, the mainstream price for 24 years of Guangken, Baodao, and Haibao latex in Qingdao area is 15000-15250 yuan/ton.
As of July 25th, the price of Thai glue was 55.30 baht/kg, an increase of 0.91% from 54.80 baht/kg on July 22nd. At present, domestic production areas have entered a period of production reduction and shutdown. In addition, although overseas main production areas are still in the peak season of rubber production, the impact of Southeast Asian geopolitical conflicts has provided support for the price of natural rubber raw materials in the short term.
Recently (7.22~7.28), natural rubber inventories have slightly increased, which has a bearish impact on the natural rubber market. As of July 27, 2025, the total inventory of Tianjiao bonded and general trade in Qingdao area was 640400 tons, an increase of 6000 tons or 0.91% compared to the previous period.
Recently (7.22~7.28), the overall stability of downstream tire production has provided essential support for the natural rubber market. As of July 25th, the construction of semi steel tires by domestic tire companies has slightly increased to around 7.5%; The construction of all steel tires by tire companies in Shandong Province has slightly increased to around 6.5%.
Market forecast: The current high prices of raw materials both domestically and internationally, as well as stable downstream tire production, provide support for the Tianjin rubber market. However, on the one hand, Tianjin rubber port inventory remains high, which is bearish for the Tianjin rubber market. Furthermore, with the cooling of the situation in Southeast Asia, it is expected that the natural rubber market will experience a slight decline in volatility in the later period.
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