According to the Commodity Market Analysis System of Shengyi Society, the domestic natural rubber spot market has seen a significant upward trend in recent times (7.9-7.22). As of July 22, the spot rubber market in China was around 15108 yuan/ton, an increase of 8.63% from 13908 yuan/ton on the 9th. Downstream tire production has slightly increased, providing support for rubber demand; The raw material prices have slightly increased, and the cost is supported by natural rubber; The slight fluctuations in port inventory but still at a high level have put some pressure on the natural rubber market. As of July 22, the mainstream price for 24 years of Guangken, Baodao, and Haibao latex in Qingdao area is 14950~15250 yuan/ton.
As of July 22, the price of Thai glue was 54.80 baht/kg, an increase of 0.92% from 54.30 baht/kg on July 9. Currently, domestic production areas are entering a period of reduced production and cutting, but overseas main production areas are still in the peak season for rubber production. In the short term, typhoon weather will provide support for the price of natural rubber raw materials.
Recently (7.9-7.22), natural rubber inventories have slightly increased, which has a bearish impact on the natural rubber market. As of July 20, 2025, the total inventory of Tianjiao bonded and general trade in Qingdao area was 634600 tons, a decrease of 1800 tons or 0.28% compared to the previous period.
Recently (7.9-7.22), downstream tire production has slightly increased, providing strong support for the demand in the natural rubber market. As of July 18th, the construction of semi steel tires by domestic tire companies has slightly increased to around 7.5%; The construction of all steel tires by tire companies in Shandong Province has slightly increased to around 6.5%.
Market forecast: Currently, domestic and international raw material prices are running at high levels, providing support for the Tianjin rubber market. Downstream production has slightly increased, providing strong support for natural rubber demand. Tianjin rubber port inventory remains at a high level; Overall, it is expected that the natural rubber market will mainly fluctuate at a high level in the later stage.
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