Production decreases, isooctanol prices fluctuate and rise in July

The price of isooctanol fluctuated and rose in July
According to the Commodity Market Analysis System of Shengyi Society, as of July 7th, the price of isooctanol was 7733.33 yuan/ton, a fluctuating increase of 2.43% compared to the price of 7550 yuan/ton on July 1st. In July, the price of isooctanol fluctuated and rose, with many isooctanol enterprises undergoing maintenance, resulting in a decrease in the operating rate of isooctanol equipment, a reduction in isooctanol production, and a decrease in isooctanol supply; Downstream plasticizer companies have seen a decline in production, resulting in a decrease in demand for isooctanol and a decrease in both supply and demand. As a result, the price of isooctanol has fluctuated and risen.
Downstream plasticizer DOP prices fluctuate and rise
According to the Commodity Market Analysis System of Shengyi Society, as of July 7th, the DOP price was 8259.17 yuan/ton, which first fell and then rose compared to the DOP price of 8259.17 yuan/ton on July 1st, and the overall price has stabilized; Compared to the DOP price of 8184.16 yuan/ton on July 2nd, it has increased by 0.92%. In July, DOP production decreased, and the operating rate of the plasticizer industry dropped to around 50%. Plasticizer production also decreased, and plasticizer prices fluctuated and rose. The production of plasticizers has decreased, and the demand for isooctanol is weak.
Future expectations
According to the data analyst of Shengyi Society’s octanol product, in terms of demand, the equipment operation of plasticizer enterprises has decreased, the production of plasticizers has decreased, the demand for isooctanol is weak, and the support for isooctanol has weakened; On the supply side, the production of isooctanol enterprises has decreased, and the supply of isooctanol has decreased. In the future, as supply decreases and demand weakens, the price of isooctanol fluctuates and rises.

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The BDO market is in a state of consolidation and observation

According to the Commodity Market Analysis System of Shengyi Society, from June 30th to July 4th, the average price of BDO in China remained at 8700 yuan/ton, with a month on month increase of 6.72% and a year-on-year decrease of 3.32%. The domestic BDO market has been stagnant after rising. Restarting production capacity exceeds maintenance capacity, resulting in a significant increase in supply and weakened supply side support; However, the demand in downstream industries has decreased, and the supply is significantly greater than the demand, exacerbating the wait-and-see sentiment in the market.
On the supply side, the industry’s capacity utilization rate has significantly increased to around 55%, and the market supply of goods has increased significantly, weakening the favorable situation on the supply side. The supply of BDO is affected by favorable factors.
On the cost side, raw material calcium carbide: The domestic calcium carbide market has experienced a downward trend, with mainstream trade prices in the Wuhai area falling to 2350 yuan/ton, and production enterprises are actively shipping. The domestic methanol market has fallen from a high level, and as of 10:00 am on July 4th, the reference price for domestic methanol in Taicang is between 2465-2470 yuan/ton. Raw materials such as calcium carbide and methanol are both showing a downward trend, and the cost of BDO is affected by unfavorable factors.
On the demand side, downstream industries such as PBAT and TPU have seen an increase in production, but PTMEG, PBT, and PU pulp have seen a decline in production, resulting in a reduction in overall consumption on the demand side. As a result, pressure on BDO supply and demand has begun to emerge. Downstream industries are still in a loss making state and are resistant to high priced raw materials. The demand side of BDO is affected by bearish factors.
Future forecast: With the restart of maintenance equipment in the BDO market, the supply of goods will increase again, and the support on the supply side will weaken. Downstream industries have slightly increased production, leading to an increase in raw material digestion. However, the increase in supply exceeds demand, and the pressure on supply and demand will continue to increase. Business Society BDO analysts predict that the domestic BDO market will enter a stage of stagnation and consolidation.

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The domestic soda ash market continued to decline in June

1、 Price trend
According to the commodity analysis system of Shengyi Society, the price of soda ash continued to decline in June. The average market price of light soda ash at the beginning of the month was 1386 yuan/ton, and the average market price at the end of the month was around 1264 yuan/ton. The price decreased by 122 yuan/ton during the month, with an overall decline of 8.80%.
2、 Market analysis
According to the commodity analysis system of Shengyi Society, the soda ash market has been weak and declining this month. Due to the restoration of the soda ash maintenance equipment, the utilization rate of soda ash production capacity has increased. At the same time, the downstream market is weak, and soda ash is mainly purchased on demand. The consumption of soda ash is average, and the sales pressure of enterprises has increased. Under the pressure of inventory, soda ash prices continue to decline.
As of June 30, 2025, the mainstream market price of light soda ash in East China is around 1140-1300 yuan/ton, with a monthly decrease of 140-150 yuan/ton; The mainstream market price of light soda ash in Central China is around 1130-1300 yuan/ton, which will be lowered by 100-120 yuan/ton within the month; The mainstream market price of light soda ash in North China is around 1180-1250 yuan/ton, with a decrease of 170-250 yuan/ton within the month.
On the demand side: According to the commodity analysis system of Shengyi Society, the glass price trend has been weak and downward this month. The average market price of glass at the beginning of the month was 14.38 yuan/square meter, and the average market price at the end of the month was 13.82 yuan/square meter, a decrease of 3.89%. During the month, the glass market had sufficient spot goods, downstream demand was weak, market trading atmosphere was sluggish, enterprise inventory accumulated, market destocking was slow, and glass prices were running weakly.
Market forecast: According to the commodity analysis system of Shengyi Society, the current price of soda ash is weak and declining, the market trading atmosphere is not good, the supply side opening rate is high, and the sales pressure of enterprises still exists. The downstream market trend on the demand side continues to be weak, with limited consumption of soda ash and a lack of market benefits. It is expected that the price of soda ash will continue to be weak in the future, depending on downstream market demand.

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Domestic acetone production in June was 277000 tons, with an expected increase in July

In June 2025, China’s acetone production was 277000 tons, an increase of 2000 tons from May 2025 and a month on month growth of 0.7%. In June, 8 sets of phenol ketone units were shut down for maintenance, resulting in a loss of approximately 50000 tons of acetone. In June, China’s acetone production capacity utilization rate was 79.3%.
In July, the production and operating rate of acetone in China are predicted to be around 307000 tons, with an operating rate of 80%. The production is showing an increasing trend compared to June, and attention should be paid to the operation status of newly added phenol ketone enterprises in China.

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The overall price of bromine rose in June

1、 Price trend
According to the Commodity Market Analysis System of Shengyi Society, the overall price of bromine has increased this month. The average market price at the beginning of the month was 24800 yuan/ton, and the average market price over the weekend was 25100 yuan/ton, with a price increase of 1.21%, which is 9.61% higher than the same period last year. On June 26, the Business Society Bromine Index was 88.07, unchanged from yesterday, a decrease of 64.08% from the highest point of 245.18 points (2021-10-27) during the cycle, and an increase of 49.47% from the lowest point of 58.92 points on October 29, 2014. (Note: The cycle refers to the period from September 1, 2011 to present)
2、 Market analysis
This month, the overall price of bromine has been on the rise. Currently, the reference price for bromine spot production in Shandong is 25000-26500 yuan/ton. This month, due to the impact of environmental inspections, the pressure on bromine inventory in enterprises is not significant, and prices are firm. Downstream demand is average, and overall market transactions are relatively light. In terms of raw materials, domestic sulfur prices have been running weakly, with an average market price of 2454.33 yuan/ton at the beginning of the month and 2334.33 yuan/ton at the end of the month, a decrease of 4.89% and an increase of 93.45% compared to the same period last year. Downstream demand is still acceptable.
Prediction: Bromine prices are expected to rise in the near future, while upstream sulfur prices are expected to remain weak. Bromine supply is expected to remain stable, and downstream purchases will be made as needed. Bromine prices remain relatively stable. It is expected that bromine will continue to consolidate and operate in the later period, depending on downstream market demand.

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