I. price trend
According to the monitoring data of business agency, on November 26, the average ex factory price of domestic grade 52 chlorinated paraffin was 5066 yuan / ton, and the price per day fell by 2.56%. Up to now, the commodity index of chlorinated paraffin on November 26 is 75.43, down 1.99 points from yesterday, down 31.07% from the highest point of 109.43 (2013-12-03), and up 18.14% from the lowest point of 63.85 on September 26, 2016. (Note: cycle refers to 2012-06-01 to now)
II. Market analysis
| PVA 0599 (PVA BF05) |
Products: at present, the ex factory price of grade I product of chlorinated paraffin 52 in South China is 4600-5500 yuan / ton, the ex factory price of grade I product of chlorinated paraffin 52 in North China is 4500-5500 yuan / ton, the ex factory price of grade I product of chlorinated paraffin 52 in East China is 5200 yuan / ton, the ex factory price of grade I product of chlorinated paraffin 52 in Central China is 4800-5500 yuan / ton, and the ex factory price of grade I product of chlorinated paraffin 52 in Northeast China is 5000-5500 yuan / ton 。 The ex factory quotation of grade I chlorinated paraffin 52 in Shandong Province is about 4800-5500 yuan / ton. The ex factory quotation of grade I chlorinated paraffin 52 in Northwest China is about 5000-5500 yuan / ton.
Industrial chain: the US China trade consultation has released positive signals, with international crude oil rising slightly, and the aftermarket is mainly volatile. The market price of liquid wax is stable and the manufacturer has a strong wait-and-see attitude. The liquid chlorine market is difficult to rise, the purchasing power of downstream is weak, the prices of some manufacturers are lowered, and most prices are stable.
| PVA |
Industry: according to the price monitoring of the business agency, in the 46th week of 2019 (11.18-11.22), there are 19 kinds of commodities rising month on month in the list of commodity prices in the chemical industry sector, among which there are 2 kinds of commodities rising by more than 5%, accounting for 2.4% of the number of commodities monitored in the sector; the top three commodities are isopropanol (9.31%), acetone (6.28%) and acrylic acid (3.24%). There are 26 kinds of commodities falling on a month on month basis, with 3 kinds of commodities falling by more than 5%, accounting for 3.5% of the number of commodities monitored in this sector; the top 3 products falling are caustic soda (- 11.61%), epichlorohydrin (- 8.58%) and sulfur (- 5.42%). This week’s average was – 0.38%.
III. future forecast
Analysts of chlorinated paraffin from business association believe that at present, the domestic chlorinated paraffin market is weak, and there is no good support. The price of raw materials is low. Most downstream enterprises need to purchase, and some enterprises adjust slightly. The overall market is not optimistic. It is expected that the market of chlorinated paraffin will rise difficultly in the later period, and the weak consolidation will continue.
| POLYVINYL ALCOHOL |