Lack of demand power, PET supply and demand deadlock,the price is up and down dilemma

According to the data monitored by the business community, as of April 14, the quotation of pet water bottle manufacturers was 7050.00 yuan / ton, and the market focus of PET bottle chips declined, which was 1.63% lower than that of the same period last month. The overall market transaction atmosphere was cold.

 

Pet market price is stable but weak, some factories slightly reduce 50-100 yuan / ton, downstream demand is insufficient, the number of new orders is limited, upstream price is up in a narrow range, pet cost support is general, compared with the same period last week, PTE price decreased by 1.63%, the decline is 110 yuan / ton, inventory consumption is slow, supply and demand is stalemate, rise and fall dilemma, the overall market purchasing atmosphere is cold.

 

Manufacturer / region: Quotation (yuan / ton) date

Zhejiang wankai PET bottle chip Co., Ltd

Zhuhai China Resources Co., Ltd. ﹣ 7050 ﹣ April 14

Henan Anhua polyester bottle chip Co., Ltd

Yizheng Chemical fiber bottle piece 6800 April 14

Xiamen Tenglong plastic bottle 6900 April 14

Guangdong Taibao polyester bottle chip Co., Ltd

Ethylene glycol index: on April 13, the commodity index of ethylene glycol was 52.12, down 0.93 points from yesterday, down 50.30% from the highest point of 104.87 points (2011-09-18), and up 55.44% from the lowest point of 33.53 points on April 2, 2020. (Note: period refers to 2011-09-01 to now).

 

Pet analysts of business news agency believe that: in terms of cost, the upstream raw material support is insufficient, the downstream demand is poor, the overall market shipment is slow, the pet market is in a narrow range of shocks, and the operation is weak and stable. (to know more about the latest market trends, please pay attention to the official account of the business community, get information on goods and grasp the price of commodities).

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Lithium hydroxide market price rises this week (4.5-4.11)

1、 Price trend of lithium hydroxide

 

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(Figure: p-value curve of lithium hydroxide product)

 

2、 Market analysis

 

As of April 11, the average price of domestic industrial grade lithium hydroxide enterprises was 75666.67 yuan / ton, up 0.89% compared with the beginning of the week, 12.38% compared with March 11, and 45.51% compared with January 1, according to the data from the business club’s block list.

 

This week, the domestic market of industrial grade lithium hydroxide rose, the market supply was tight, the demand side was steady, the offer of goods holders was firm, and the market was hard to find low-cost goods.

 

Output data of lithium hydroxide: in March 2021, the output of lithium hydroxide of major manufacturers in China was 12800 tons, up 13.27% month on month and 85.51% year on year.

 

According to the price monitoring of the business community, the market of lithium carbonate in the upstream is mainly stable in the near future. As of April 11, the average price of industrial grade lithium carbonate in East China was 87000 yuan / ton, which was the same as that at the beginning of the month (the average price of industrial grade lithium carbonate in East China was 87000 yuan / ton on April 1). On April 11, the average price of battery grade lithium carbonate in East China was 90600 yuan / ton, which was the same as that at the beginning of the month (the average price of carbon in East China was 90600 yuan / ton on April 1).

 

According to the price monitoring of the business community, in the list of commodity prices in the 14th week of 2021 (4.5-4.9), there were 38 kinds of commodities in the chemical industry sector that rose month on month, among which 8 kinds of commodities increased by more than 5%, accounting for 8.7% of the total number of commodities monitored in the sector; the top 3 commodities were nitric acid (8.94%), acetic acid (8.70%) and ethyl acetate (8.13%). There were 27 kinds of commodities with a month on month decrease, and 5 kinds of commodities with a decrease of more than 5%, accounting for 5.4% of the number of commodities monitored in the sector. The top 3 products with a decrease were butadiene (- 10.77%), formic acid (- 8.38%) and acrylic acid (- 8.31%). The average rise and fall this week was 0.25%.

 

3、 Future forecast

 

According to the lithium hydroxide analysts of business news agency, the recent stable operation of upstream lithium carbonate, coupled with the steady performance of supply and demand support, it is expected that in the short term, the domestic industrial lithium hydroxide Market will be mainly strong, and the specific trend needs to pay more attention to the market information guidance.

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Stable operation of R22, price rise of R134a (4.1-4.11)

1、 Price trend

 

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According to the bulk data monitoring of business news agency, as of April 12, the average price of refrigerant R22 was 15933.33 yuan / ton, which was the same as that at the beginning of the month, down 10.65% compared with the same period last year.

 

According to the bulk data monitoring of business news agency, as of April 12, the average price of refrigerant R134a was 22100 yuan / ton, up 4.74% from the beginning of this month and down 1.78% from the same period last year.

 

2、 Market analysis

 

R22: in April, the market of refrigerant R22 was stable, and the quotation of some enterprises fluctuated slightly. At present, the prices of trichloromethane and hydrofluoric acid fluctuate little, and generally operate stably. The cost support is acceptable. The manufacturers are willing to support the market by supporting the price. Pricing is based on the volume, and some enterprises make profits to ship. However, due to the poor demand, the overall transaction atmosphere of the market is general. At present, the quotation of R22 market is around 15000-17000 yuan / ton, while that of Shandong is about 16000-17000 yuan / ton, and that of Zhejiang is relatively low The price quoted in Jiangdi district is about 15500-16500 / T, that in Hunan is about 15000-15500 / T, and that in Shanghai is about 16000 yuan / T. the price is generally stable and small.

 

R134a: in April, the price of refrigerant R134a rose. The price of hydrofluoric acid fluctuates little, and the support is acceptable. The price of manufacturers rises, and the enterprises increase by more than 1000 yuan, pushing the price up to a high level. However, the demand of downstream car market is weak, the ability to receive high price R134a is not high, and the enthusiasm of inquiry is not good. At present, the quotation of R134a market is mostly in the range of 21000-23500 yuan / ton, the quotation of Shandong region is about 20000-21000 yuan / ton, and the quotation of Zhejiang region is low The price is about 21500-23000 yuan / ton, that in Hunan is about 21500-21000 yuan / ton, that in Jiangsu is about 23000 yuan / ton, and that in Shanghai is about 23000 yuan / ton. The price is generally increased in various places.

 

In terms of raw materials, on April 12, the mainstream price of domestic anhydrous hydrofluoric acid manufacturers was 10000-11000 yuan / ton. The ex factory price trend of domestic manufacturers of hydrofluoric acid was stable. The operating rate of domestic manufacturers of hydrofluoric acid declined, and the supply of goods in the yard was slightly tight. Affected by the high price of fluorite, the market trend of downstream refrigerants was temporarily stable in the near future, and mainly purchased on demand in the yard. It is expected that the price in the yard will be stable in the future .

 

The domestic price of chloroform was 3883 yuan / ton on the 12th, up 2.19% from the previous day. On the one hand, there is a large demand for downstream refrigerants, and the shipment of chloroform is smooth, which is supported by the demand side; on the other hand, since late March, the price of raw material liquid chlorine has gone up, and the cost side support is strong. According to the monitoring of the business community, as of April 12, the mainstream ex factory price of liquid chlorine for tank cars in Shandong Province was around 2300 yuan / ton. At present, the downstream demand is increasing, and the price of raw materials is rising. Although the overhaul of Jinling plant is completed, the overall supply side is slightly increased compared with the earlier stage, the chloroform industry chain is generally good, and the price is expected to continue to rise in the later stage.

 

3、 Future forecast

 

Business analysts believe that at present, the price of raw materials does not fluctuate much and the supporting force is acceptable. The manufacturers have obvious psychology of supporting the market. However, due to the drag of demand side, the upward price lacks the actual driving force. It is expected that the short-term market will be consolidated and the probability will be stable.

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Steam coal prices went down this week (4.5-4.9)

1、 Price trend

 

According to the monitoring of business news agency, the price of steam coal fell this week. At the beginning of the week, the average port price of thermal coal was maintained at 754 yuan / ton, while at the end of the week, the average port price of thermal coal was maintained at 747.5 yuan / ton, down 0.86%, up 45.15% year on year. On April 8, the steam coal commodity index was 90.51, down 0.27 points from yesterday, down 27.59% from the cycle’s highest point of 125.00 points (2021-01-19), and up 102.48% from the lowest point of 44.70 points on January 20, 2016. (Note: period refers to 2011-09-01 to now).

 

2、 Analysis of influencing factors

 

In terms of origin, the high level of coal at the head of the steam coal pit has decreased. Because of the hot sales in the mining area in the early stage, now the acceptance of the downstream is general, and the coal price has begun to callback slightly. And Yulin coal mine began to resume production, the overall supply is more sufficient than the previous period. In addition, in April, Mengxi began to release xinyuedu coal pipe ticket, and the overall supply may be improved.

 

In terms of downstream power plants: with the rise of temperature, civil power has basically ended, and the daily coal consumption of the port has dropped in recent days. As of April 6, the six major coastal power plants had a total inventory of 14.505 million tons, daily consumption of 653000 tons, and available days of 22.2 days. And the downstream began to resist the high price of coal, the desire to chase high is not strong. In addition, industrial power consumption has been on the right track, and the follow-up power consumption increment is not large.

 

Macro: according to the monitoring of the Ministry of Commerce, the national coal prices rose slightly last week (March 29 to April 4), among which the prices of steam coal, coking coal and No.2 anthracite lump coal were 613 yuan, 776 yuan and 940 yuan per ton, up 1%, 0.5% and 0.3% respectively.

 

Business analysts believe that: at this stage, the daily consumption of port is on the decline, industrial power consumption has entered normal, power demand is difficult to increase, and civil power is basically over. Moreover, in terms of producing area, the supply of steam coal is sufficient. On the whole, the price of steam coal may maintain a weak market, and the specific situation depends on the downstream market demand.

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On April 8, the price trend of fluorine chemical products was temporarily stable

On April 8, 2021, in the price rise and fall list of fluorine chemical industry, there were 0 kinds of commodities that rose, 0 kinds of commodities that fell, and 7 kinds of commodities that rose or fell to 0. Stable products include fluorite, hydrofluoric acid, aluminum fluoride, chloroform, cryolite, R22, R134a.

 

On April 8, the market price trend of fluorine chemical raw materials was temporarily stable. The price of raw material fluorite was 2738.89 yuan / ton, and the price trend of fluorite remained stable. Recently, some domestic fluorite plants were generally started, and some in site mines and flotation plants were shut down. The fluorite supply in the site was normal. However, the downstream market was mainly stable in the near future, and the decline of fluorite price was limited. As of August 8, the price of fluorite in Jiangxi was 2700-2900 yuan / ton, and that in Inner Mongolia was 2500-2700 yuan / ton. It is expected that the price of fluorite will remain high and stable in the future.

 

In the near future, the price trend of the downstream refrigerant industry is temporarily stable, and the operating rate remains low. The demand for hydrofluoric acid is general. However, due to the normal supply on the site, the price trend of hydrofluoric acid market is stable. As of August 8, the quotation of hydrofluoric acid Market is 10622.22 yuan / ton. The recent price trend of hydrofluoric acid market is mainly stable, and the operating rate of domestic hydrofluoric acid is less than 60%. The enterprises reflect that the market price of hydrofluoric acid is stable Fluoric acid spot supply is normal. Recently, the market of goods on the floor is general. The ex factory price of some enterprises is stable. Up to now, the mainstream of hydrofluoric acid negotiation is 10000-11000 yuan / ton. However, people on the floor reflect that it is difficult for the hydrofluoric acid market to rise sharply in the near future. Business analyst Chen Ling thinks that the market of hydrofluoric acid may be temporarily stable.

 

The price trend of aluminum fluoride products is temporarily stable, the market supply is normal, and the trading market is general. The quotation of aluminum fluoride of Zhengzhou Zerun energy and Chemical Co., Ltd. is 9000 yuan / ton. The overall market supply of aluminum fluoride is sufficient, and the overall price trend of aluminum fluoride market is stable.

 

In recent years, the price trend of trichloromethane in Shandong Province is temporarily stable, the overall demand of downstream market has little change, and the demand for trichloromethane is general. With the demand procurement of downstream market, the price trend of trichloromethane market is stable. At present, trichloromethane production enterprises in Shandong Province have a high starting point, sufficient spot supply in the market, general shipment and normal sales. At present, the mainstream ex factory price of chloroform is about 3650-3750 yuan / ton.

 

In recent years, the price trend of domestic cryolite is temporarily stable, the operation of the plant is stable, and the supply is normal. The domestic negotiation price is about 6500-7000 yuan / ton, and the actual transaction price is mainly negotiation. In general, the recent market of fluorine chemical industry is general, and it is expected that the trend of fluorine chemical industry will remain volatile in the later period.

 

In the near future, the price trend of downstream refrigerant R22 is temporarily stable, the price of raw material chloroform remains high, and the cost support is general. In the near future, the downstream gradually starts to stock up, the demand side has risen, and the market center slightly rises. As the price trend of hydrofluoric acid is stable, the price of some affected refrigerants rises. Refrigerant R134a price trend has an upward trend, the market is strong operation. In the near future, the start-up in the downstream remained low, but the raw material support was strong, and the refrigerant market was temporarily stable.

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