According to the data monitoring of business agency, the domestic CIS polybutadiene rubber market fell this week (10.25-10.29). According to the monitoring of business agency, as of October 26, the price of CIS polybutadiene rubber in China was 14820 yuan / ton, down 2.88% from 15260 yuan / ton at the beginning of the week.

International crude oil prices rose and fell this week, and the cost formed short-term bad in the face of the domestic chemical market. The ex factory price of CIS polybutadiene rubber of domestic enterprises stabilized. According to the monitoring of business society, as of October 29, the ex warehouse price of Daqing Shunding of CNPC Northeast sales company was 14700 yuan / ton; The market offer has gradually dropped. According to the understanding of the business agency, the mainstream price in Shunding market such as Daqing, Qilu, Yanshan and Sichuan is around 14400 ~ 15000 yuan / ton.

The start-up of polybutadiene rubber changed little this week, and the supply side was basically stable.

enterprise Unit capacity Commencement

Yantai Haopu 60000t / A normal operation

Shandong Wanda 50000 T / A restart

Qilu Petrochemical 70000t / A normal operation

Sichuan Petrochemical 150000t / A normal operation

Maoming Petrochemical 100000 t / A normal operation

yanshan petrochemical 150000t / A Shutdown of rare earth CIS butyl unit

Yangzi Petrochemical 100000 / year parking

Huayu rubber 80000 T / A parking

Taiwan rubber Yubu 72000 / year restart

Dushanzi Petrochemical 30000 / year normal operation

Xinjiang Lande 50000 / year Front line operation

Daqing Petrochemical 160000 / year normal operation

Liaoning Shengyou 30000 / year parking

Jinzhou Petrochemical 30000 / year normal operation

Zhejiang ChuanHua 100000 / year Front line operation

Zhenhua petrochemical 100000 / year normal operation

Raw butadiene fell and the cost side was weak. According to the monitoring of business society, as of October 29, the price of butadiene was 7991 yuan / ton, down 5.27% from 8435 yuan / ton at the beginning of the week.

Natural rubber prices rose slightly, forming a certain support for cis-polybutadiene rubber. According to the monitoring of business agency, as of October 29, the price of domestic natural rubber was 13723 yuan / ton, up 1.03% from 13583 yuan / ton at the beginning of the week.

Future forecast: business analysts believe that the rising price of natural rubber will benefit cis-polybutadiene rubber. At present, the price of cis-polybutadiene rubber is high, but the downstream is in conflict with the high price and the transaction is deadlocked. It is expected that the CIS polybutadiene rubber market may fall sharply in the later period.

1、 Price trend

Latest price (October 28): 14533.33 yuan / ton

Key points of analysis: according to the data monitoring chart of business society, on October 28, the phosphoric acid market temporarily operated stably. The price of raw yellow phosphorus was in the range of 45000 yuan / ton – 50000 yuan / ton, and the cost support was OK. The phosphoric acid Market watched carefully the price trend of raw materials. In addition, the market arrival was still unstable and the downstream demand was not large, so the probability of stable operation of phosphoric acid Market in the short term was high.

It is expected that the phosphoric acid market will operate stably for the time being, and it is also necessary to watch carefully the price fluctuation of raw materials.

1、 Price trend

According to the data monitoring of the bulk list of business society, bromine price consolidation is running. The average market price in Shandong is about 69875 yuan / ton, and the price is still high. On October 26, the bromine commodity index was 245.18, unchanged from yesterday, hitting a record high in the cycle, up 316.12% from the lowest point of 58.92 on October 29, 2014. (Note: the period refers to the period from September 1, 2011 to now)

2、 Market analysis

At present, the domestic bromine price is at a high level, and the rise and fall are in a stalemate. The main downstream flame retardants and intermediates industries are in conflict with high prices, mostly purchase according to rigid needs, and the shipment rhythm of bromine enterprises slows down. The market trading is general, and it is expected that the short-term bromine price consolidation operation will be the main, depending on the downstream market demand.

On October 26, the rare earth index was 654 points, up 9 points from yesterday, down 34.60% from the highest point of 1000 points in the cycle (December 6, 2011), and up 141.33% from the lowest point of 271 points on September 13, 2015. (Note: the period refers to the period from December 1, 2011 to now).

The trend of domestic rare earth index continued to rise, the price of domestic light rare earth praseodymium neodymium series rose sharply, the price of praseodymium neodymium oxide increased by 15000 yuan / ton to 685000 yuan / ton, the price of praseodymium neodymium metal increased by 20000 yuan / ton to 845000 yuan / ton, the price of praseodymium oxide increased by 12500 yuan / ton to 700000 yuan / ton, and the price of neodymium oxide increased by 15000 yuan / ton to 695000 yuan / ton, The price of metal praseodymium increased by 10000 yuan / ton to 927500 yuan / ton, the price of metal neodymium increased by 7500 yuan / ton to 845000 yuan / ton, the price of dysprosium oxide was 2.76 million yuan / ton, the price of dysprosium ferroalloy was 2.74 million yuan / ton, and the price of metal dysprosium was 3.545 million yuan / ton. The price trend in the domestic light rare earth market increased. The recent procurement was general, and the price trend of praseodymium neodymium series increased mainly, Recently, the price of dysprosium and terbium in the domestic heavy rare earth market has risen, and the downstream purchase is mainly on demand. Myanmar prohibits export. It is expected that the price trend of domestic rare earth market will rise in the later stage.

DOP prices fell rapidly on October 25

According to the data monitoring of the business agency, the DOP price fell and the DOP market fell on October 25. As of October 25, the DOP price was 12575.00 yuan / ton, down 3.27% from 13000.00 yuan / ton on October 22 of the previous trading day; DOP fell sharply this week after a brief rebound last week.

The price of raw materials fell

According to the price monitoring of the business agency, after the brief rise of isooctanol last week, the price of isooctanol fell sharply on the 25th, the price of isooctanol fell by 8.35% on the 25th, the price of isooctanol fell sharply, and the cost of DOP fell; DOP prices followed suit.

Future expectations

Bai Jiaxin, DOP data analyst of business agency, believes that on the 25th, the price of isooctanol fell sharply and the cost of DOP decreased. Under the background of weak PVC market, DOP lost its upward support and increased downward pressure. DOP prices are expected to fluctuate and fall in the future.