1、 Price trend
According to the block data list of business news agency, the average price of domestic phosphoric acid on June 30 was 5833.33 yuan / ton, down 5.66% from 61833.33 yuan / ton at the beginning of the month, up 19.86% compared with the same period last year.
2、 Market analysis
In June, the phosphoric acid market rose first and then declined, and then the price gradually fell, with a decline of more than 5% in the whole month. In June, the price of raw material yellow phosphorus was as high as around 25000 yuan / ton. Supported by the cost, the phosphoric acid market kept pace with the rise, and the quotations of some enterprises were as high as 7000 yuan / ton. Since the middle of the year, with the rising of raw material yellow phosphorus enterprises, the high price has come down to below 20000 yuan / ton, and the phosphoric acid market has also gone down. But the wait-and-see attitude has not decreased. At present, the price is mostly in the range of 5500-6500 yuan / ton, Mainly for old customers. Near the end of the month, the security inspection is more strict, or affect the trading atmosphere in some areas, and the price continues to weaken. According to the monitoring of business agency, the quotation in Sichuan is 5500-5700 yuan / ton, in Yunnan is 6400-6700 yuan / ton, in Hubei is 5900-6500 yuan / ton, in Tianjin is 6200 yuan / ton, in Jiangsu is 6000-6600 yuan / ton, in Shandong is 5600-5800 yuan / ton, and the price of phosphoric acid in various places is gradually reduced.
According to the data monitoring of business news agency, as of June 30, the average reference price of 30% grade phosphate ore in mainstream areas in China was around 530 yuan / ton, which was increased by 20 yuan / ton or 3.92% compared with the price on June 1 (510 yuan / ton). At present, the overall domestic phosphate rock market is stable at a high level, and the downstream demand is normal. The transaction of Guizhou and other phosphate ore mines is good. The phosphate ore analysts of the business association predict that in July, the domestic phosphate ore market will be mainly high consolidation operation.
Yellow phosphorus, the price of Yunnan Guizhou yellow phosphorus fell this month. At present, the yellow phosphorus enterprises in Yunnan have resumed production, but the recovery of the furnace is very limited. At the end of the month, the downstream construction started to improve, the stock of goods increased, and the supply of yellow phosphorus in the overall market tended to be tight. The price of yellow phosphorus showed some signs of rebound, but the price of yellow phosphorus had been declining in the early stage, and the decline rate began to slow down last week. Up to now, the price of yellow phosphorus in Yunnan is about 19200-22000 yuan / ton; The price quoted in Sichuan is about 19800-20000 yuan / ton; The price quoted in Guizhou is about 19300-19500 yuan / ton.
3、 Future forecast
According to the phosphoric acid analysts of the chemical branch of business society, in July, the cost pressure gradually eased, and the market price of phosphoric acid dropped. In addition, due to strict environmental protection and safety, the shipment in some areas may be limited, and the enterprises will give up profits to ship. It is expected that the market will be weak in the short term, or there may be a further downward trend.
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