1、 Price trend
According to the data of business club’s block list, the average ex factory price of powdered monoammonium was 2201.33 yuan / ton on February 18, 2134.67 yuan / ton on February 9, up 3.12% after the
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festival, 5.6% on a month on month basis and 13.86% on a year-on-year basis.
According to the data of the business club’s block list, on February 18, the average ex factory price of 64% diammonium was 2490 yuan / ton, and on February 9, the average ex factory price of 64% diammonium was 2490 yuan / ton, up 2.05% on a month on month basis. After the festival, the price was temporarily stable, up 13.18% on a year-on-year basis.
2、 Market analysis
After the Spring Festival, the price of map increased by 3.12%. At present, the foreign demand of map is increasing, and the price is rising, which drives the domestic market. At the same time, the price of raw materials is rising, the cost support is stronger, and the fundamentals are good. The sales pressure of enterprises is not big, so they are generally optimistic about the future market. The ex factory price of 55% ammonium powder in Anhui Province is 2105 yuan / ton. The ex factory price of 55% ammonium powder in Hubei Province is 2170-2200 yuan / ton. The price of 55% ammonium powder in Henan Province is about 2200-2250 yuan / ton. The ex factory price of 55% ammonium powder in Sichuan is about 2200-2300 yuan / ton.
After the Spring Festival, the price of DAP is temporarily stable, and there is no obvious fluctuation compared with that before the festival. In Hubei Province, 64% of diammonium enterprises stopped reporting, while in Gansu Province, 64% of diammonium enterprises offered 2650 yuan / ton. The price of 64% diammonium in Yunnan is 2930-3050 yuan / ton. In Guizhou Province, 64% diammonium is priced at 2950-3000 yuan per ton, while in Heilongjiang Province, the first station advance receipt price of 64% diammonium rises to about 3050 yuan per ton.
In terms of raw materials, on February 18, the domestic sulfur market rose sharply. The price of solid sulfur in regional refineries increased by 30-80 yuan / ton, and the price of liquid sulfur in East China increased by 50 yuan / ton, while the price in other regions was temporarily stable. The sulfur inventory of refineries in various regions is low, the sulfur market is strong, and the shippers have no intention to ship at a low price. At present, the export market of phosphate fertilizer continues to improve. In addition, the domestic spring ploughing fertilizer is approaching, the downstream market is favorable, the sulfur price rises, and the future sulfur market is relatively strong. Pay attention to the downstream follow-up situation.
3、 Future forecast
Analysts from business news agency believe that after the holiday, the market of ammonium phosphate will be better, the price of monoammonium phosphate will rise, and the price of diammonium phosphate will remain high. At present, the foreign demand of map is increasing, and the price is rising, which drives the domestic market. At the same time, the price of raw materials is rising, the cost support is stronger, and the fundamentals are good. The sales pressure of enterprises is not big. Generally, they are optimistic about the future market, and the price is expected to rise further. In the short term, the market is stable. However, with the support of tight supply and favorable conditions, it is expected that the future price will be easy to rise but difficult to fall.
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