1、 Price trend

According to the monitoring data of business agency, the average ex factory price of domestic ammonium sulfate was 1500 yuan / ton on January 17 and 1553 yuan / ton on January 21. The price of ammonium sulfate increased by 3.56% this week.

2、 Market analysis

The price of coking grade ammonium sulfate rose this week, and the on-site trading increased by 50-150 yuan / ton. The trend of domestic ammonium sulfate is poor, traders have more inventory, and they still have resistance to high price ammonium sulfate. The export market is weak. As of January 21, for coking grade ammonium sulfate, the mainstream factory quotation of ammonium sulfate in Shandong is 1330-1400 yuan / ton, that in Hebei is 1320-1380 yuan / ton, that in Shanxi is 1250-1350 yuan / ton, that in Henan is 1280-1350 yuan / ton, and that in Heilongjiang is about 1400 yuan / ton. Hexene grade ammonium sulfate, the ex factory quotation in Shandong is 1700-1750 yuan / ton.

This week, the enthusiasm for the preparation of compound fertilizer in the downstream increased, the procurement was active before the festival, and the market trading volume increased. It is expected that the demand for fertilizer preparation will weaken next week, the upward power will be insufficient, and the demand for ammonium sulfate for compound fertilizer will weaken.

3、 Future forecast

Ammonium sulfate analysts of business society believe that the logistics and transportation are slowing down and the fluctuation of ammonium sulfate is limited near the Spring Festival. Traders are still cautious. It is expected that in the short term, coking grade ammonium sulfate will operate in a small range, and the price of hexyl grade ammonium sulfate will decline.

Commodity name: latest price of white carbon black (January 20): 6750.00 yuan / ton

As of January 20, the mainstream price of white carbon black was about 6750 yuan / ton, and the price was mainly stable. Compared with the same period last week, there was no significant change in the price. The overall market supply and demand was balanced, the operation was weak in a narrow range, the procurement enthusiasm was general, it was mainly for contract customers, the negotiation atmosphere was flat, and the white carbon black market was stable and strong.

Future forecast: it is expected that in the short term, the white carbon black will mainly run smoothly and be sorted in a narrow range.

On January 19, the rare earth index was 855 points, up 3 points from yesterday, down 14.50% from the highest point of 1000 points in the cycle (December 6, 2011), and up 215.50% from the lowest point of 271 points on September 13, 2015. (Note: the period refers to the period from December 1, 2011 to now)

The domestic rare earth index is rising, the price of domestic light rare earth praseodymium neodymium series is rising, the price of praseodymium neodymium oxide is rising by 20000 yuan / ton to 920000 yuan / ton, the price of praseodymium neodymium metal is rising by 32500 yuan / ton to 1127500 yuan / ton, the price of praseodymium oxide is 915000 yuan / ton, the price of neodymium oxide is 1020000 yuan / ton, the price of metal praseodymium is 1170000 yuan / ton, and the price of metal neodymium is 1240000 yuan / ton, The price of dysprosium oxide is 3 million yuan / ton, the price of dysprosium ferroalloy is 2.98 million yuan / ton, and the price of metal dysprosium is 3.8 million yuan / ton. The price trend of domestic light rare earth market is temporarily stable, and the recent procurement is general. The price of dysprosium Series in domestic heavy rare earth market rises, the price of terbium series rises, and the downstream purchase is mainly on demand. Myanmar prohibits export. It is expected that the price trend of domestic rare earth market will rise in the later stage.

Trade name: chlorinated paraffin

Latest price: 6050 yuan / ton

Key points of analysis: the price of chlorinated paraffin 52 was stable on January 18, which was stable compared with the previous trading day. Today, the price of raw liquid chlorine is generally reduced. The market of raw liquid wax was generally stable, and some manufacturers increased sporadically. The cost support is weakened, the downstream demand is poor, and the on-site trading of chlorinated paraffin is cold. At present, the operating rate of enterprises is low, and the quotation varies greatly among regions. The chlorinated paraffin market is generally stable, with sporadic adjustment in the short term.

Future forecast: it is expected that the price of chlorinated paraffin will fluctuate steadily in the short term.

In mid January, domestic dimethyl ether prices plunged sharply, the market returned to weakness, and the price in Henan fell back to 3600 yuan / ton. According to the monitoring data of business agency, the average price of dimethyl ether in Henan market was 4083.33 yuan / ton on January 14 and 3653.33 yuan / ton on January 17, with a decrease of 10.53% and 11.49% compared with December 1.

As of January 17, the domestic market prices of dimethyl ether in various regions are as follows:

region Mainstream quotation

Jiangxi region 4080 yuan / ton

Hebei region 3850 yuan / ton

Henan region 3650-3660 yuan / ton

In the middle of January, dimethyl ether ushered in a sharp decline, and the early increase was basically reversed. Only one weekend, the dimethyl ether market fell sharply, and the price on the 17th was still weak. Although the international crude oil price rose slightly, it brought limited support to the market. The weakening of the civil LPG market brought some bad news to the market. The cost methanol market fluctuates mainly in a narrow range, and the market lacks obvious benefits. The downstream market entry enthusiasm is not high, the mentality is cautious, and it is mainly wait-and-see. Henan market fell back to 3600 yuan / ton over the weekend, and Hebei and Shandong also followed the downward trend, falling back below 4000 yuan / ton.

The methanol market first fell and then rose this week. The main reason is that the transportation is blocked due to various reasons, the upstream warehouse discharge slows down, and forced to reduce the price for sales. Although there are few goods arriving at the port, the southwest gas head devices have been restored one after another, and the mentality of the operators is general. According to the monitoring data of business society, from January 7 to January 14, 2022, the average price of domestic methanol production enterprises fell from 2387 yuan / ton to 2382 yuan / ton, with a price drop of 0.21% during the cycle, a price month on month decrease of 9.06% and a year-on-year increase of 0.63%.

At present, the price of liquefied gas market is weak and downward, and the raw material methanol market fluctuates in a narrow range, which brings some bad news to the dimethyl ether Market. The downstream has a cautious mentality, low enthusiasm to enter the market, and the overall trading atmosphere of the market is poor. Near the Spring Festival, the manufacturers have a certain inventory discharge demand. It is expected that the dimethyl ether market will still be weak in the short term.