Natural rubber prices despite the recent increase greatly, but from the fundamental observation, positive support factors in the short term does not reduce.
RMB and yen showed a continued downward trend, crude oil prices continued upward, to support the rubber price provided the premise of currency.
The main natural rubber producing countries, especially Thailand facing inclement weather, may affect the late supply to rubber. Thailand rubber Administration recently said that by natural disasters this year, Thailand rubber production fell 20%.

While the market demand in the short term and did not change significantly, the bonded areas continue to reduce inventory.
As the rubber tire downstream enterprises operating rate continued to rise, sales data better, “golden nine silver ten” trend. The terminal demand, promote the rubber futures market buying confidence rose again.
Only a day after just two days, there were more than 1 billion yuan capital inflows HuJiao futures contracts, so as to promote the rubber prices rose sharply.

This month, domestic rubber prices soared, attract the attention from the tire enterprises. Industry forecasts, in the fourth quarter, rubber prices will continue upward, in the short term is expected to challenge the year the highest point.
HuJiao 1701 contract after a few days after the rise, has exceeded 14000 yuan / ton. The industry is expected to rubber price under a mark, may be 16000 yuan / ton.
Rubber prices continued to rise in the fourth quarter, has become a high probability event, estimated in the short term can challenge the highest point during the year.
The price of natural rubber and synthetic rubber stimulation, butadiene price surge followed, rose to 20% on the next.

On the supply side, Yanshan Petrochemical overhaul, the old pressure line 3 due to lack of raw materials began in October 9th to be expected to stop, driving time to be determined; Lanzhou petrochemical HDPE plant planned August 11th to October 8 day old parking maintenance, parking maintenance has full density device in May 18, 2013; Daqing stone HDPE device C line; Jilin petrochemical HDPE plant in October 18th began to overhaul repair 7-8 days. The expansion device, Shenhua Xinjiang smoothly, has polymerization products in October 3rd production of 300 thousand tons of polyethylene, co-founder of transit planning unit 7042, October 23rd began at the same time, the futures delivery linear granulation, supply into the market, supply and demand pressures increased slightly later. But the early product has yet to run in with the market, short-term impact is not expected.

The downstream market, although the festival with high raw materials prices fell and factories will; packaging and film industry orders due to lower than expected operating rate fell, but given to films, garlic film led agricultural film production still in season, demand is stable.
To sum up, the domestic PE market straddle intertwined, lack of strong unilateral news guidelines, after the market has experienced rapid increases in the petrochemical inventory low, decide on what path to follow? Very price intentions clear, coupled with market supply is tight, the strong support of PE market. But with the price up to a high level, the downstream enterprises profits by squeezing, restricting the raw material procurement initiative, while new expansion devices continue to increase, the late supply pressure gradually increased, the comprehensive advantages and disadvantages, it is expected that the recent market continued high prices will face up after the callback risk exploration.

Miss Kim Gu”, “silver ten” rujierzhi. The National Day holiday return, polyethylene market ushered in pull up sharply, especially high pressure materials, the performance of the more prominent. Oil above $50 / barrel mark, petrochemical enterprises turns hike, directly pushed the market price, in addition, the intermediate stock circulation low also played a role in fueling traders took the opportunity to speculation, continue to raise the price, so as to push the wave to the peak. With high pressure and linear material as an example, Shanghai petrochemical Q281 ex factory price from 10650 yuan / ton rose to 11800 yuan / ton, up 1150 yuan / ton; market price before the 11000 yuan / ton rose to 12100 yuan / ton, up 1100 yuan / ton. Daqing petrochemical 7042 ex factory price from 9000 yuan / ton rose to 9500 yuan / ton, up 500 yuan / ton; market price before the 9200 yuan / ton rose to 9550 yuan / ton, up 350 yuan / ton.
Two, prospect

The upstream market, as the dollar and oil drilling continued to increase, the crude oil market bearish heavy, however, the emergence of the pipeline or the supply interruption, slightly more crude oil prices, international oil prices recently saw in the 50 mark. Ethylene monomer, good and bad news of the game, the price is stable. Upstream market to bring to market guide co..
The petrochemical, after the petrochemical stocks continued low, manufacturers support the current high pricing, plus play in the tight supply situation, very price intention does not change or will form a strong support on the spot.

The downstream circuit breaker, insulation demand switch etc. industries, six SF sales.

Because the six sulfur fluoride per transaction volume is less, six SF of the actual transaction price flexibility, this week, the downstream demand has improved, general manufacturers inventory.

The upstream product prices vulnerable to run, while the downstream demand is six, sulfur fluoride short-term difficult to improve, the average price is expected at 4.2-4.8 million / ton.