According to the Commodity Market Analysis System of Shengyi Society, in early April, the domestic adipic acid market fell and weakened. On April 1st, the average price of adipic acid in the domestic market was 7766 yuan/ton. On April 8th, the average price of adipic acid in the domestic market was 7700 yuan/ton, a decrease of 0.86% in price.
Supply pressure remains weak and the adipic acid market is declining
Since April, the market for pure benzene and cyclohexanone raw materials for adipic acid has weakened, resulting in poor demand in the terminal industry. The supply pressure in the adipic acid market has doubled, and shipping prices have remained weak and stable. Market transactions have been flat, and sales have been average. The average market price of adipic acid has fallen to 7600-7700 yuan/ton, with an overall decrease of about 50 yuan/ton.
An analyst from Shengyi Society believes that in mid April, the raw material market may see an improvement, supply pressure will ease, and the domestic adipic acid market may experience a rebound.

According to the Commodity Market Analysis System of Shengyi Society, from March 31 to April 7, the domestic butadiene market price decreased from 11000 yuan/ton to 10833.33 yuan/ton, with a price reduction of 1.52% during the period. This cycle, the domestic butadiene market showed a trend of first rising and then falling within the week, with an overall downward trend. As the holiday approaches, some downstream stocks will replenish their positions after falling. At the beginning of the week, market transactions were relatively concentrated. With some auction sources selling at a premium, the market trend has significantly shifted upwards. Although the supply side prices remained firm, the high end offers and transactions in the later part of the week were somewhat deadlocked. At the same time, the news of the US tariffs affected the futures market, causing downstream buyers to be cautious. After short-term fluctuations in the market, prices significantly declined on Thursday afternoon. As of April 7th, the delivery price in Shandong region is 10900 yuan/ton.
Cost wise: International crude oil futures plummeted on April 4th. The settlement price of the main contract for WTI crude oil futures in the United States was $61.99 per barrel, a decrease of $4.96 or 7.4%. The settlement price of the main Brent crude oil futures contract was $65.58 per barrel, a decrease of $4.56 or 6.5%. Affected by US tariff policies, oil prices have plummeted for two consecutive trading days, with WTI experiencing a cumulative drop of nearly $10. Investors are concerned about the risk of economic recession caused by the escalation of global trade conflicts. According to crude oil analysts from Shengyi Society, based on the subsequent impact of current US tariff policies, crude oil may enter a new cycle in the long term. The supply-demand balance may be disrupted and enter the process of rebalancing again. In the short term, given that countries are attempting to negotiate lower tariffs or impose retaliatory tariffs, tariffs may change and oil prices may fluctuate significantly in the short term.
Supply side: The listed price of butadiene for various sales companies of Sinopec is 11200 yuan/ton, with an increase of 100 yuan/ton this week.
Demand side: The styrene butadiene rubber market has been operating weakly during this cycle. According to the commodity market analysis system of Shengyi Society, as of April 3rd, the styrene butadiene rubber market in the northwest region has slightly declined by around 100 yuan/ton. Currently, downstream inquiries are cautious, and market transactions are flat. The mainstream price of Jihua 1502 is 13900 yuan/ton.
Market forecast: This weekend, crude oil prices will significantly decline, and the spot market will be dragged down and prices will follow suit. There are many negative factors on the cost side. In terms of supply, there have been few maintenance visits to butadiene enterprises recently, and the subsequent arrival situation at the port is good. The market expects a good supply of butadiene, but the supply side is relatively empty. The downstream synthetic rubber futures market on the demand side has weakened, and the overall operating rate has decreased, resulting in overall demand leaning towards rigid demand. Overall, the supply and demand performance of the butadiene market is bearish, and it is expected to be mainly stable, moderate, and weak in the short term.

According to the Commodity Market Analysis System of Shengyi Society, the aniline market has remained low recently, and the market atmosphere is quiet. The spot price of aniline in East China is 8000-8100 yuan/ton, and the acceptance price is 8080 yuan/ton. It is reported that the raw material pure benzene has rebounded and stopped falling, and cost support is gradually increasing. The downstream demand for aniline remains rigid, while the demand side support is average. If the price of pure benzene continues to rise in the future, it is expected that the possibility of aniline pushing up will increase.

According to the commodity analysis system of Shengyi Society, the domestic maleic anhydride market was weakly consolidated on March 31. As of March 31, the average market price of n-butane oxidation maleic anhydride remained at 6790 yuan/ton, which was stable compared to the previous trading day.
Supply side: Currently, the increase in spot supply in the maleic anhydride market is limited, and downstream unsaturated resin manufacturers of maleic anhydride are mainly operating steadily. The unsaturated resin market is mainly stable, and the procurement of maleic anhydride is limited. On the 31st, the auction price fell, and the price of maleic anhydride factory also fell. As of March 31st, the factory price of solid anhydride in Shandong region is around 6700 yuan/ton, and the factory price of liquid anhydride is around 6400 yuan/ton.
Upstream: On the 31st, the n-butane market remained stable, and as of March 27th, the price in Shandong was around 5300-5350 yuan/ton.
Downstream: Currently, unsaturated resin companies are mainly operating steadily, but due to the impact of rising raw material prices and subsequent declines, the unsaturated resin market remains stable, and there is a strong wait-and-see sentiment in the market.
The analyst of Shengyi Society’s maleic anhydride products believes that the recent replenishment of downstream resin demand for maleic anhydride has ended, and new order signings are limited; At present, the prices of the main factories producing maleic anhydride have fallen, and it is expected that the maleic anhydride market will mainly consolidate weakly in the near future.

1、 Price trend
According to the commodity analysis system of Shengyi Society, the price trend of soda ash first fell and then stabilized this week. As of March 28th, the average market price of soda ash was 1480 yuan/ton, a decrease of 0.27% compared to the soda ash price of 1484 yuan/ton on March 22nd, and a decrease of 1.20% compared to the beginning of the month.
2、 Market analysis
The soda ash market has been weak this week. The supply side equipment has resumed operation, and the utilization rate of soda ash production capacity has improved. The market supply has increased, and enterprises are actively shipping. Although the downstream market has risen, the main consumption of inventory is limited, and the demand for soda ash is limited. The actual transactions on site are average, and some regions have poor enterprise shipments, resulting in a slight shift in the focus of soda ash transactions.
As of March 28th, the reference price for the soda ash market in East China is around 1350-1550 yuan/ton for light soda ash, which remains unchanged from last Friday’s price; The reference price for the soda ash market in Central China is around 1300-1550 yuan/ton for light soda ash, a decrease of 30 yuan/ton compared to last Friday.
According to the commodity analysis system of Shengyi Society, the downstream glass market has seen a narrow upward trend. From March 22nd to 28th, the price of glass increased from 15.12 yuan/square meter to 15.21 yuan/square meter, an increase of 0.60%. The glass market has little fluctuation in production, with an increase in downstream demand, stable market trading, a narrow reduction in glass inventory, and a strong upward trend in market prices.
Future forecast: Domestic soda ash facilities will resume operation, capacity utilization rate will increase to a medium to high level, market supply performance will be sufficient, downstream enthusiasm for entering the market is not high, and there will be a game of supply and demand in the market. It is expected that the short-term soda ash market will be weak and consolidated, and specific attention will be paid to downstream demand follow-up.