According to the Commodity Market Analysis System of Shengyi Society, the domestic natural rubber spot market has fluctuated slightly upwards recently (8.11-8.25). As of August 25th, the spot rubber market in China’s natural rubber market was around 14975 yuan/ton, an increase of 1.07% from 14816 yuan/ton on the 11th. Downstream tire production has slightly increased, providing essential support for Tianjian; On the other hand, the price of natural rubber raw materials remains strong, and the cost support of natural rubber continues; In addition, the slight decrease in domestic port inventory and the improvement of market atmosphere have driven natural rubber prices to fluctuate and rise. As of August 25th, the mainstream price for 24 years of Guangken, Baodao, and Haibao latex in Qingdao area is 14900-15100 yuan/ton.
As of August 25th, the price of Thai glue was 55.25 baht/kg, an increase of 2.31% from 54.00 baht/kg on August 11th. In mid August, heavy rainfall in some parts of Thailand caused resistance to natural rubber (TSR) cutting activities, coupled with unstable production in Vietnam’s old natural rubber plantations, which supported the price of natural rubber raw materials in the short term. But in the later stage, with the expected restart of rubber cutting in the past, the price of natural rubber raw materials may fall from a high level.
Recently (8.11-8.25), natural rubber inventories have continued to decrease slightly, and the market atmosphere has improved. As of August 24, 2025, the total inventory of Tianjiao bonded and general trade in Qingdao area was 606200 tons, a decrease of 10500 tons or 1.71% compared to the previous period.
Recently (8.11-8.25), downstream tire production has slightly increased, providing essential support for the natural rubber market. As of August 22, the construction of semi steel tires by domestic tire companies has slightly increased to around 7.40%; The construction of all steel tires by tire companies in Shandong Province has slightly increased to around 6.5%.
Market forecast: The current high prices of raw materials both domestically and internationally, as well as the increase in downstream tire production, provide support for the Tianjin rubber market. The Tianjin rubber port inventory has slightly decreased, and with the arrival of the peak season, it is expected that the natural rubber market will fluctuate and rise in the later period.
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