Category Archives: Uncategorized

Insufficient demand leads to weak stability in the cyclohexane market

1、 Price trend
According to data monitored by Shengyi Society, as of July 16th, the average price of industrial grade high-quality cyclohexane in China was 7233 yuan/ton, a decrease of 0.91% compared to the same period last week. The cyclohexane market has remained stable, with no significant changes in prices and a slight decline. Currently, downstream demand is insufficient, and the driving force for price increases is weak. Demand replenishment is the main focus, and the spot market supply is sufficient. In the short term, supply-demand balance is the main operation.
2、 Market analysis
At present, the focus of negotiations in the domestic cyclohexane market is running steadily, and downstream purchasing willingness is average. Downstream replenishment is mainly based on demand, and the negotiation atmosphere is not positive. Currently, cyclohexane inventory pressure still exists, inventory is running at a high level, spot supply is sufficient, market consumption is slow, and contract customers are mainly in urgent need of procurement. Downstream procurement lacks enthusiasm, and the overall cyclohexane market is under pressure. Currently, the mainstream transaction price is concentrated at around 7400 yuan/ton, and the cyclohexane market price is weak this week.
Upstream: As of July 16th, the price of pure benzene in East China has been weak, with a narrow decline. Currently, the price is around 5900 yuan/ton. Downstream styrene inventory is running at a high level, actively shipping, and sales in the East China market have increased. Jiangsu Xinhai Petrochemical’s pure benzene price is stable, with a price of 6005 yuan/ton. Qicheng Petrochemical’s pure benzene price has been lowered by 30 yuan/ton, with a price of 5800 yuan/ton. Wudi Xinyue’s pure benzene price has been lowered by 50 yuan/ton today, with a price of 5803 yuan/ton. The factory equipment is operating normally, and inventory is moderate.
Downstream: As of July 16th, the cyclohexanone production in the South China market has been consolidated and operated. Downstream purchases are made according to demand, and the supply of spot goods in the market is stable. The production capacity of Shandong Hualu Hengsheng cyclohexanone plant is 520000 tons, mainly used for caprolactam, with a small export price of 7100 yuan. Currently, the cyclohexanone market is mainly stable and operating.
3、 Future forecast
The cyclohexane analyst from Shengyi Society believes that the downstream demand for cyclohexane is generally moderate, with on-demand procurement being the main focus. It is expected that the cyclohexane market will remain stable in the short term.

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Adipic acid market weakened and fell in early July

According to the Commodity Market Analysis System of Shengyi Society, in early July, the main bearish trend was the weak downward trend in the domestic adipic acid market. On July 1st, the average market price of adipic acid was 7366 yuan/ton. On July 15th, the average market price of adipic acid in China was 7133 yuan/ton, a decrease of 3.17%.
Negative main trend: domestic adipic acid market declines
At the beginning of July, the prices of pure benzene and cyclohexanone raw materials for adipic acid fell weakly, and the demand for terminal plastics industry was sluggish, resulting in an overall decline in prices for adipic acid manufacturers. The domestic adipic acid market has average transactions and a weak market. As of July 11th, the average market price of adipic acid has fallen to around 7133 yuan/ton, with an overall decline of over 3%. Starting from July 12th, the market for adipic acid has gradually stabilized, with the price remaining at 7100 yuan/ton without any fluctuations. In early July, the trend of adipic acid was mainly weak.
An analyst from Shengyi Society believes that in late July, the rigid demand in the terminal industry was poor, and the boost to the raw material market was limited. Therefore, the market for adipic acid will continue to weaken in the future.

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Supply recovery, weak demand. Isooctanol prices fluctuated and fell this week

This week, the price of isooctanol fluctuated and fell
According to the Commodity Market Analysis System of Shengyi Society, as of July 14th, the price of isooctanol was 7550 yuan/ton, a fluctuating decrease of 2.37% compared to the price of 7733.33 yuan/ton on July 7th. This week, the price of isooctanol fluctuated and fell. The isooctanol enterprise equipment resumed this week, the operating rate of isooctanol equipment increased, the production of isooctanol increased, and the supply of isooctanol increased; Downstream plasticizer companies have seen a decrease in production, leading to a decrease in demand for isooctanol and a decrease in supply and demand. As a result, the price of isooctanol has fluctuated and fallen.
Downstream plasticizer DOP prices fluctuate and fall
According to the Commodity Market Analysis System of Shengyi Society, as of July 14th, the DOP price was 8084.17 yuan/ton, a fluctuating decrease of 2.12% compared to the DOP price of 8259.17 yuan/ton on July 7th. This week, DOP production has decreased, and the operating rate of the plasticizer DOP industry has dropped to around 40%. Plasticizer production has also decreased, and plasticizer prices have fluctuated and fallen. The production of plasticizer DOP has decreased, and the demand for isooctanol is weak.
Future expectations
According to the data analyst of Shengyi Society’s octanol products, in terms of demand, the production of DOP equipment by plasticizer companies has decreased, the production of DOP plasticizers has decreased, the demand for isooctanol has decreased, and the support for isooctanol has weakened; In terms of supply, the equipment of isooctanol enterprises has resumed operation, and the supply of isooctanol has increased. In the future, as the supply of isooctanol increases and demand decreases, the price of isooctanol fluctuates and falls.

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Cost supported phosphoric acid market price increase (7.7-7.11)

1、 Price trend
According to the Commodity Market Analysis System of Shengyi Society, as of July 11th, the reference average price of 85% industrial grade thermal phosphoric acid in China was 6680 yuan/ton, which is 0.60% higher than the reference average price of 6640 yuan/ton on July 7th.
2、 Market analysis
Market Aspects
The domestic phosphoric acid market prices have risen this week. As of July 11th, the ex factory price of 85% thermal phosphoric acid in Hubei region is around 6300-6800 yuan/ton, in Yunnan region it is around 6500 yuan/ton, and in Sichuan region it is around 6400-6800 yuan/ton. The domestic market price for 85% wet process phosphoric acid is around 6500-7450 yuan/ton.
In terms of cost
In terms of raw material yellow phosphorus. The market price of raw material yellow phosphorus has risen this week. This week, the supply of yellow phosphorus in the market is tight, and manufacturers are mainly reluctant to sell, resulting in an increase in the transaction price of yellow phosphorus in the market. Be cautious downstream and prioritize restocking for urgent needs. Short term yellow phosphorus prices are expected to be strong.
3、 Future forecast
Business Society’s phosphate analyst believes that the phosphate market has been stable and rising recently. The price of raw material yellow phosphorus has increased, leading to an increase in cost support. The phosphoric acid market has stable trading and an increase in inquiries. It is expected that the short-term domestic phosphoric acid market will be dominated by strong consolidation and operation.

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The domestic natural rubber spot market is weak and volatile

According to the Commodity Market Analysis System of Shengyi Society, the domestic natural rubber spot market has been weak and volatile recently (7.1-7.9). As of July 9th, the spot rubber market in China’s natural rubber market was around 13908 yuan/ton, a decrease of 0.14% from 13928 yuan/ton on the first day, and the high point during the cycle was 13983 yuan/ton. Downstream semi steel tire production has slightly decreased, providing weak support for rubber rigid demand; The slight decline in raw material prices, coupled with the continued increase in port inventories, still puts some pressure on the natural rubber market. As of July 9th, the mainstream price for 23 years of Guangken, Baodao, and Haibao latex in Qingdao is 13850-14150 yuan/ton.
As of July 9th, the price of Thai glue was 54.30 baht/kg, a decrease of 2.16 baht/kg from 55.50 baht/kg on July 1st. Currently, the natural rubber production areas in China and Vietnam have been fully cut off; Natural rubber producing areas such as Thailand and Indonesia have entered a period of increased production. The expected increase in global supply remains unchanged, and the price of natural rubber raw materials is expected to continue to decline in the later stage.
Recently (7.1-7.9), natural rubber inventories have slightly increased, which has a bearish impact on the natural rubber market. As of July 6, 2025, the total inventory of Tianjiao bonded and general trade in Qingdao area was 632400 tons, an increase of 0.03 million tons or 0.05% compared to the previous period.
Recently (7.1-7.9), the production of downstream semi steel tires has slightly decreased, providing essential support for the natural rubber market. As of July 4th, the production of semi steel tires by domestic tire companies has slightly decreased to around 7.0%; Around 6.40% of tire companies in Shandong have started construction on all steel tires.
Market forecast: As domestic and international raw material prices stabilize at high levels and expectations continue to decline in the later stage, downstream production fluctuates slightly, providing support for natural rubber demand, and Tianjin Rubber Port inventory remains high; Overall, it is expected that the natural rubber market will experience weak fluctuations in the later period.

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