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Tight supply, liquid ammonia prices continue to push up this week

This week (3.15-19) liquid ammonia market rose sharply, according to the business community monitoring, liquid ammonia weekly decline of 4.59%. As of March 19, the monthly growth rate was 6.15%. The mainstream price in Shandong is 3400-3500 yuan / ton.

 

This week, the domestic price of liquid ammonia rose sharply, mainly due to the tight supply. On the one hand, the two sessions ended, the environmental protection warning was lifted, the export volume of ammonia in northern China increased, the manufacturers discharged the warehouse, and the inventory pressure was significantly reduced. Moreover, Henan, Hubei, Chongqing and Northeast China have all been overhauled, and the supply of liquid ammonia is more tight due to the reduction of liquid ammonia output. According to the statistics of business news agency, big factories in Shandong have increased their quotations four times in five trading days a week, with an increase of 250 yuan / ton. In addition, the demand side is better than the earlier stage. In the peak season of spring ploughing, the amount of replenishment in the downstream is increased, the performance of urea in the downstream is better, and the output of liquid ammonia is limited, which aggravates the shortage of ammonia.

 

After the year, the market gradually warmed up, the long-distance transportation recovered rapidly, and the liquid ammonia market ushered in the delivery period. As the inventory of liquid ammonia of most manufacturers has declined, it has also cleared the way for the price rise. After the festival, the demand for urea, phosphate fertilizer and other downstream products has picked up, and the purchase has increased. The price of liquid ammonia in Shandong and Hebei has also picked up significantly.

 

In terms of urea, urea rose by 2.25% this week. At the same time of tight supply, India’s urea bidding announcement led to the rise of urea price, and foreign trade led to domestic trade procurement. The market is optimistic about the Indian bid price and domestic market expectation as a whole. It is estimated that at present, the upstream factories have exhausted the pressure in the early stage, and there is no pressure to receive orders for the time being. There are export-oriented factories that limit the order receiving, and control the pressure of port gathering and shipment within a certain range. Domestic prices are expected to remain high in the short term.

 
As far as the downstream compound fertilizer is concerned, it is generally consolidated at a high point. According to the monitoring of the business society, monoammonium phosphate rose by 3.09% in March, but this week’s rise and fall were all zero. The market has obviously entered a stagflation period, and spring ploughing and fertilizer preparation has come to an end. The agricultural demand continues to weaken. It is expected that with the price of liquid ammonia continues to rise, the downstream profit will be squeezed, which will also affect the downstream demand, and the price of compound fertilizer may increase in the later stage It’s up.

 

In the future, the business community believes that the current shortage of liquid ammonia is difficult to solve in a short time, and the maintenance of some manufacturers’ devices may last for nearly a month, and the market supply will continue to be good in the short term. It does not rule out the possibility that the price of liquid ammonia will continue to rise next week, but with the contraction of downstream procurement, the price rise of liquid ammonia will also be limited.

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On March 18, the price trend of fluorine chemical products was temporarily stable

On March 18th, 2021, the price of fluorine chemical industry rose in the list of 0 commodities, 0 commodities fell, 7 commodities rose and dropped to 0. Stable products include fluorite, hydrofluoric acid, aluminum fluoride, cryolite, R22, R134a and chloroform.

 

On March 18, the price trend of raw materials market of fluorine chemical industry was temporarily stable, the price of raw fluorite was 2761.11 yuan / ton, and the fluorite price trend remained high. Recently, some fluorite plants in China started generally, and some units in the field were stopped, and the supply of fluorite in the field was tight, but the downstream market was stable in the near future, and the fluorite price was limited by the impact. As of the 18th, the fluorite price in Jiangxi Province was 2700-2900 yuan / ton, and that of Inner Mongolia was 2500-2700 yuan / ton. It is expected that the fluorite price will remain high in the later period.

 

In the near future, some prices in the downstream refrigerant industry have risen, and the starting rate remains low. For hydrofluoric acid demand, the market price of hydrofluoric acid has slightly increased due to the normal supply in the field. As of 18, the price of hydrofluoric acid market is 10611.11 yuan / ton. In the near future, the market price trend of hydrofluoric acid is stable mainly, and the domestic hydrofluoric acid commencement rate is less than 60%. The enterprise reflects that the current market price trend is stable The supply of domestic HFA spot goods is normal. The market is generally in the near future. Some enterprises have stable ex factory prices. As of now, the mainstream of hydrofluoric acid negotiation is 10000-11000 yuan / ton. However, the insiders on the site report that the recent rise of hydrofluoric acid market is difficult. Chenling, an analyst of business society, thinks the market of hydrofluoric acid will remain volatile.

 

The price trend of aluminum fluoride products is stable temporarily, the supply in the field is normal, and the trading market is general. The ex factory quotation of aluminum fluoride of Zhengzhou Tianrui Grain Technology Co., Ltd. is 8700 yuan / ton, and the quotation of aluminum fluoride of Zhengzhou Zerun Energy Chemical Co., Ltd. is 8700 yuan / ton. The overall market supply of aluminum fluoride is sufficient, and the overall price of aluminum fluoride market is relatively stable.

 

Recently, the price trend of trichloromethane in Shandong Province is stable temporarily, the overall demand of downstream market is not changed much, and the demand for trichloromethane is general. With the downstream market starting to prepare goods, the price of trichloromethane market remains high. At present, the enterprises of chloromethane production in Shandong Province are starting high, the spot supply in the market is stable, and the shipping situation of enterprises is improved. In order to prevent the excessive pressure of the later market, the enterprises bid for delivery. At present, Shandong Province offers about 4300-4400 yuan / ton.

 

In recent years, the price trend of domestic cryolite is temporarily stable, the equipment in the site is stable and the supply is normal. The domestic negotiation price is about 6500-7000 yuan / ton, and the actual transaction price is mainly negotiated. In general, the recent market of fluorine chemical industry is general, and it is expected that the trend of fluorine chemical industry will remain volatile in the later period.

 

Recently, the price trend of R22 in the downstream is stable temporarily, the price of raw material trichloromethane is high, and the cost side is generally supported. In the near future, the downstream gradually began to prepare goods, with the demand side rising, and the market center of gravity has been slightly higher. Because the price trend of hydrofluoric acid is stable, the price of the affected part of the refrigerant has been higher. The price trend of R134a refrigerant has a rising trend, and the market is relatively strong. Recently, the downstream construction has maintained a low level, but the raw material support is strong, and the refrigerant market has been higher.

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Light stable half month,China domestic n-propanol market price finally up

According to the price monitoring data of business news agency, as of March 17, the average reference price of domestic n-propanol containing packaging in mainstream regions was around 11133 yuan / ton. Compared with the price in early March (reference price 10733 yuan / ton on March 1), the average price increased by 400 yuan / ton, or 3.73%. Compared with the price after the Spring Festival (reference price 10700 yuan / ton on February 18), the average price increased by 433 yuan / ton, or 4.05%.

 

Stable operation for half a month domestic n-propanol Market

 

In early March, the overall trend of domestic n-propanol market was stable. In late March, supported by the higher external market price of raw material ethylene, the offer price of n-propanol factory went up. On the 16th, the ex factory price of n-propanol loose water in Shandong increased by 300-600 yuan / ton, the mainstream ex factory price of n-propanol in Shandong increased by 10100-11000 yuan / ton (loose water), and the ex factory price of n-propanol loose water in Nanjing increased by 400-500 yuan / ton The reference price of n-propanol in Nanjing market is 10000-10600 yuan / ton (bulk water). At present, the normal start-up of n-propanol is normal, the downstream maintains rigid demand, the inventory is moderate, and the market runs smoothly after rising.

 

In Nanjing Rongxin Chemical Co., Ltd. (formerly Nanjing Wujiang Chemical Co., Ltd.), the n-propanol production unit is in normal operation, and is currently operating at full load. The n-propanol ex factory quotation is 10000 yuan / T (loose water), which is 400 yuan / T higher than that at the beginning of March. In Shandong Province, the n-propanol ex factory quotation of Jinan Mingyu Chemical Co., Ltd. is 11600 yuan / T (barreled / domestic), and that of Aite (Shandong) new materials Co., Ltd. is 11600 yuan / T The ex factory price of alcohol is 10600 yuan / ton (bulk water / domestic). Dealers in different regions still have reservations about the price. The price is not easy to monitor, which may lead to differences in the specific negotiation situation. There are also differences in each region. The real order negotiation is the main, and the price change and shipment situation of raw materials will be watched in the future.

 

In terms of raw materials, the recent overall rise of the external ethylene market fluctuated slightly, and the overall market was at a high level. As of the 16th, in European ethylene market, FD northwest Europe quoted $1219-1231 / T, up $2 / T, CIF northwest Europe quoted $1208-1219 / T, down $2 / T; in American ethylene market, FD America Gulf quoted $1288-1300 / T; in Asian ethylene market, CFR Northeast Asia quoted $1127-1135 / T, down $70 / T, CFR Southeast Asia quoted $1072-1080 / T/ Tons, down 70 dollars / ton.

 

In the future, it will be mainly stable

 

The price of raw materials is high, the cost of domestic n-propanol has improved, and the supply and demand are relatively stable at present. Therefore, the analysts of n-propanol data of business society believe that the domestic n-propanol market price has stabilized in the future. Specific trends also need to pay attention to the cost of raw materials and delivery.

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March 16 China’s domestic glass spot market confidence cautious

Trade name: glass

 

Latest price March 16: 27.36 yuan / m2

 

Key points of analysis on March 16, the overall trend of domestic glass spot market was general, and the speed of purchasing glass by traders and processing enterprises slowed down. Shahe market price in North China is more flexible; enterprises in Central China are more willing to support the price; East China market is slightly upward; prices in South China are rising. Business glass analysts believe that the glass market as a whole, downstream processing enterprises first round of replenishment inventory basically ended, market confidence is cautious. In the short term, the spot price of glass is mainly adjusted slightly.

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The price of phosphate rock rose by more than 10% in half a month

According to the data monitoring of business news agency, as of March 15, the average reference price of 30% grade phosphorus ore in mainstream areas in China was around 446.67 yuan / ton, which increased by 43 yuan / ton or 10.75% compared with the price on February 28 (403.3 yuan / ton).

 

Phosphorus ore market ushers in seasonal recovery, with an increase of more than 10% in half a month

 

In March, on the first day of the month, driven by the gradual recovery of the downstream market and the sharp rise of the whole chemical market after the festival, China’s phosphorus ore market also ushered in the “first rise” after the Spring Festival. Guizhou and Hubei and other regions have increased the ex factory prices of medium and high-end grade phosphorus ores to varying degrees. The increase rate in Guizhou is around 20-40 yuan / ton, while that in Hubei is higher On the first day, the average market reference price of 30% grade phosphate ore in China was 423 yuan / ton, up 20 yuan / ton or 4.96% compared with the average price at the end of February. Subsequently, the phosphorus ore market as a whole maintained a high and stable operation. The spot supply of phosphorus ore in Hubei was tight, and the enterprises wanted to increase the ex factory price of phosphorus ore again.

 

The price of 30% grade phosphate rock in Guizhou rose by 10-20 yuan / ton, while the low-end price market has basically disappeared. At present, the market quotation of 30% grade phosphate rock in Guizhou is 370-390 yuan / ton; the ex factory quotation of 30% grade phosphate rock in Hebei is increased by 20-30 yuan / ton, and that of 30% grade phosphate rock in Hebei Fanshan group is increased by 20-30 yuan / ton The quoted price of rock out of plant is 570 yuan / ton, which is 30 yuan / ton higher than that at the end of last month; the quoted price of 30% ammonium phosphate ore ship plate in Hubei area is about 400 yuan / ton. On the 15th, the reference average price of domestic 30% grade phosphate ore market rose to 446 yuan / ton, up 23 yuan / ton or 5.51% from the beginning of this month, and 10.75% from the end of February.

 

In early March, the domestic yellow phosphorus market was stable as a whole, with a slight upward trend. At present, the transaction of new orders in the yellow phosphorus market is relatively stable, and the reference price of Yunnan Net phosphorus ex factory acceptance transaction is around 17100-17400 yuan / ton. As of March 15, according to the monitoring data of the business community, the factory reference price of yellow phosphorus in Yunnan and Guizhou was 17600 yuan / ton, up 2.03% compared with March 1 (17250 yuan / ton).

 

In the downstream of map, after the sharp rise of map in February, map still showed a steady rising trend in March, but the rise narrowed. In the first ten days of March, sulfur rose by more than 8%, cost support was strong, the price of monoammonium phosphate rose, downstream demand was stable, and replenishment was on the low end. However, at present, the main manufacturers issued orders, domestic orders were not sold much, the sales pressure of the industry was not big, the price support sentiment was still high, and there were many enterprises stopping orders and reporting. Anhui Province 55% ammonium powder factory offer 2450-2460 yuan / ton. The ex factory quotation of 55% powdered ammonium in Hubei Province is 2400-2500 yuan / ton. The price of 55% ammonium powder in Henan Province is about 2500-2700 yuan / ton. The price of 55% ammonium powder in Sichuan is about 2450 yuan / ton.

 

Announcement on the third auction of phosphate rock by China phosphate exchange

 

The third phosphorus ore auction of China phosphorus exchange, with a total of 136000 tons in 8 bid sections, was successful in bidding for 99000 tons, including 63000 tons of Erjie branch, 36000 tons of LiuJie branch, transaction price of 22.11% grade raw ore yard of Erjie branch 135 yuan / ton, completion price of 28.01% grade raw ore yard 295 yuan / ton, transaction price of 23.64% grade raw ore yard 184 yuan / ton, and transaction price of 25.22% grade raw ore yard The transaction price is 222 yuan / ton, and the transaction price of 29.60% grade raw ore yard is 341 yuan / ton. The transaction price of 21.10% grade raw ore yard of LiuJie branch is 118 yuan / ton, 27.19% grade raw ore yard is 277 yuan / ton, and 27.93% grade raw ore yard is 288 yuan / ton.

 

Spring sowing starts phosphorus ore market in succession

 

The end of March and the beginning of April are the peak sales season of phosphate fertilizer in the downstream of phosphate rock. Driven by the recovery of terminal downstream market, it is expected that the phosphate rock market will continue to run at a high level and stably in the near future.

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